The potential for the disturbance to become a Tropical Cyclone in the next 24 hours is at MEDIUM at 55% probability -- ManilaTC
The disturbance east of the Samar/Bicol area has shown more development over the past 12 hours as it tracks towards the Philippines. JTWC-Hawaii/NRL has designated the system as Invest 96W. LPA WP69 (Invest 96W) now has winds of 35kph (20kts) and is moving West at 27 kph.
All Weather agencies in the West Pacific consider the system as a LPA, and the JTWC gives the system a medium chance to develop in 24 hrs.
The system is forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility by tomorrow afternoon or evening.
Currently, computer forecast models are giving forecasts to develop LPA WP69 (Invest 96W) and possibly track into Luzon by early next week. All interests in Luzon are advised to keep watch and monitor the progress of this system.
Check out Manila TC's affiliate ongoing LIVE WEBCAST regarding Typhoon Vongfong at www.westernpacificweather.com, featuring NHK World Meteorologist Robert Speta!
Typhoon Vongfong (Ompong) is now making its slow, gradual approach to Okinawa island. Landfall is now expected to occur during the late evening hours of Saturday or early Sunday morning.
Kadena AirBase in Okinawa is now in TCCOR 1 Emergency, meaning: Winds of 50 knots sustained or greater are occurring at a particular installation. All personnel will stay indoors away from windows. Outdoor movement will be restricted to lifesaving response actions.
Okinawa Island has been being hammered by the Typhoon with wind gusts exceeding 60 knots (110 kph) being experienced already, with 12 hours from landfall.
Kadena AFB -- 90 kph Sustained with gusts of 140 kph, with heavy rain
Naha, Okinawa -- 85 kph Sustained with gusts of 125 kph, with heavy rain
Forecasts for the island are winds gusting up to 185 kph expected later tonight as the eye passes through.
Meanwhile, Typhoon Vongfong (Ompong) is now outside the Philippine AoR, with the eye crossing the 25 degrees north latitude line.
The strongest tropical cyclone of the year (as of this writing), Super Typhoon OMPONG (Vongfong) is now laying its sights on the southern islands of Japan, the Ryukyu Islands.
The howler has begun to make its trek Northward and is possibly already past its peak intensity. As it passes near Okinawa, the Typhoon is possibly between a Cat 3 or 4.
The typhoon will not directly affect the Philippines, but rough seas may be experienced by seafarers along the Eastern seaboards of Luzon and Samar.
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