The potential for the disturbance to become a Tropical Cyclone in the next 24 hours is at MEDIUM at 55% probability -- ManilaTC
The disturbance east of the Samar/Bicol area has shown more development over the past 12 hours as it tracks towards the Philippines. JTWC-Hawaii/NRL has designated the system as Invest 96W. LPA WP69 (Invest 96W) now has winds of 35kph (20kts) and is moving West at 27 kph.
All Weather agencies in the West Pacific consider the system as a LPA, and the JTWC gives the system a medium chance to develop in 24 hrs.
The system is forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility by tomorrow afternoon or evening.
Currently, computer forecast models are giving forecasts to develop LPA WP69 (Invest 96W) and possibly track into Luzon by early next week. All interests in Luzon are advised to keep watch and monitor the progress of this system.
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