ManilaTC is now issuing a Tropical Cyclone Formation alert for Disturbance WP54 (Invest 91W) located east of Samar province.
Tropical Disturbance WP54 (Invest 91W) has shown further organization and is now subject to a Formation Alert by ManilaTC.
At 0200am today, WP54 (Invest 91W) was last located at 10.9°N, 130.8°E... about 550km East of Guiuan town in Eastern Samar, Philippines.
Maximum winds near the disturbance center are at 35 kph (20 kts), and has drifted to the Northwest to
Computer models are in unanimous agreement to develop WP54 (Invest 91W) into a tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours and to track Northwest across the Northern Philippine sea... potentially towards Extreme Northern Luzon.
Should PAGASA upgrade this disturbance, it will be named Nando.
ManilaTC analyzes that Tropical Disturbance WP54 (Invest 91W)'s potential development into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 hours is LIKELY, with 63% chance.
#ManilaTC #TyphoonWatch #HabagatWatch #StormWatch
This is the official blog page of Manila Typhoon Center. All the latest advisories from ManilaTC will be coursed here should the Facebook page be inaccessible for any reason.