Typhoon Maysak has gradually intensified as it continues to tread on a West to West-NorthWestward direction across the Western Pacific. It is expected to pass near Faraulep Atoll early tonight, on its way to Yap Island.
The eye of the typhoon is now at 8.9°N, 145.3°E, about 95 km East-Northeast of Faraulep Atoll in Yap State... 790 km East-Southeast of Yap Island...1130 km outside PAGASA-Manila's AoR... 2100 km East of Northeast Mindanao.
Maysak is now packing winds of 150 kph (10 min average)/170 kph (1 min), slightly accelerated as it is moving to the West at 24 kph. The storm is expected to pass well south of Guam tonight and move near Yap Island by the morning hours of Wednesday as a 190 kph Category 3 typhoon.
Based on the forecast tracks released by the Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, and Chinese weather agencies along with the JTWC this afternoon -- Typhoon Maysak is forecast to cross the PAGASA-Manila AoR boundary line by Wednesday night. The 5 day forecast tracks bring the storm near the Bicol Region by Black Saturday afternoon.
PAGASA-Manila shall name the system locally as "CHEDENG".
Typhoon Maysak is expected to encounter moderately high wind shear (upper atmospheric winds) of 20-30 kts (35-50 kph) and slightly less favorable sea temperatures once it reaches the Philippine Sea by midweek, weakening the system but intensity estimates by the above-mentioned agencies still have Maysak as a still-potentially damaging 140 kph Typhoon by Saturday.
Do take note that 5 days is still a bit long-range, forecasts may change from time to time.
Interests in Yap State in Micronesia; Eastern Visayas, Bicol Region, CALABARZON, Central Luzon and the Manila region should continue to monitor the progress of Typhoon Maysak... as the Philippines goes on a long Holy Week holiday this weekend.
Typhoon Warnings and Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for islands in Yap State. Kindly refer to official warnings posted by the NWS in Guam. Please be advised to monitor official warnings from your local weather and disaster preparedness agencies.
Intensifying Typhoon Maysak passed the Chuuk atoll/islands this morning, bringing heavy rain and wind to the island. Wind gusts of 111 kph were registered on Weno Airport before conking out in the storm. As of this time, we have not received any damage reports on the island.
Maysak is now the third Typhoon of the 2015 season, packing winds of 135 kph, moving West at a speed of 18 kph, away from Chuuk and moving towards Yap.
It is forecast to move more to the West-Northwest and pass close if not directly hit Yap Island by Tuesday evening. Maysak is also forecast to cross the 135E Philippine AoR line by Wednesday and to be locally named as Chedeng
Yap State in Micronesia, should begin to experience the outer bands of the storm by Monday night with worsening conditions as Typhoon Maysak approaches.
The JTWC-US Navy expects Maysak to peak at 120 kts (1-min average) or 220 kph, JMA-Tokyo forecasts the typhoon at 175 kph (10-min average) -- both by Wednesday afternoon.
Typhoon Watches and Warnings have been issued for islands in Yap and Chuuk States in Micronesia. Kindly refer to their official warnings.
Residents in the Philippines should keep watch regarding the progress and track of this storm as there is an increasing likelihood that it may affect your plans for the Holy Week holiday break.
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FARAULEP IN YAP STATE. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CHUUK AND ULUL IN CHUUK STATE. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING FOR CHUUK AND ULUL.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SATAWAL IN YAP STATE...WHILE A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SATAWAL.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FANANU IN CHUUK STATE. DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A TYPHOON WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PULUWAT IN CHUUK STATE. DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 MPH OR MORE ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE STILL POSSIBLE IF MAYSAK DEVIATES SOUTHWARD.
A TYPHOON WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR WOLEAI...FAIS...ULITHI AND YAP IN YAP STATE. TYPHOON FORCE WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NEXT 48 HOURS.