UPDATE #2 | FORMATION ALERT
DISTURBANCE #WP89 (INVEST 98W/JMA TD)
0700 AM 2300Z MONDAY 28 OCTOBER 2013
Tropical Disturbance WP89 (98W) has further consolidated and is now subject to a Formation Alert by ManilaTC. JMA-Tokyo, TMD-Bangkok, and CWB-Taiwan consider the system as a full Tropical Depression.
At 5 am today, WP89 (98W)'s center of circulation has been located at 12.2°N, 141.3°E... about 450 KM Northeast of Yap Island, Micronesia or 405 KM West-Southwest of Guam, USA... Winds of 45 to 55 KPH (25 to 30 Knots) have been found within the system... WP89 (98W) is moving to the WEST at 25 KPH.
WP89 (98W) is forecast to become a Tropical Depression within the day. JMA-Tokyo is pushing for Tropical Storm status after 24 hours. WP89 (98W) is to enter the Philippine AoR by tomorrow and would be named locally as VINTA. If JMA-Tokyo will upgrade to a storm, it will be named KROSA.
WP89 (98W) is currently forecast to track towards Luzon and may reach the island by the All Saints Day weekend holiday. Please take note that this forecast are at least a few days ahead and every forecast may change significantly every day.
Interests in the Philippines particularly Luzon should take this system into consideration as they make preparations for the All Saints Day holiday weekend.
MTC ANALYSIS | The potential of Disturbance WP89 to develop into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 hours is now upgraded to LIKELY, with 67% chance.
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