ODETTE (Usagi) upgraded to Super Typhoon, threatens Northern Luzon, Southern Taiwan, Southeastern China and Hong Kong
ODETTE (Usagi) has been given the SUPER TYPHOON title by JTWC-Hawaii and CMA-Beijing. The howler has now winds reaching 230 kph, a Strong Category-4 Typhoon on the Saffir-Sampson Scale. The Super Typhoon is now making its approach towards extreme Northern Luzon and Southern Taiwan, then go on its way towards Southern China-Hongkong area.
PAGASA TYPHOON WARNING SIGNALS (as of 5 am Warning)
SIGNAL NUMBER 3 -- Batanes Group of Islands... meaning winds of 101-185 kph are expected in at least 18 hours
SIGNAL NUMBER 2 -- Cagayan, Calayan and Babuyan Group of Islands, Apayao... meaning winds of 61-100 kph are expected in the next 24 hours
SIGNAL NUMBER 1 -- Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Mt. Province, Ifugao, Abra, Kalinga, Isabela ... meaning winds of 45-60 kph are expected in the next 36 hours
At 6 am today Manila time, The eye of ODETTE (Usagi) was last located at 19.1°N, 125.8°E... about 445 km East-Northeast of Aparri, Cagayan or 430 km East-Southeast of the Batanes Island Group... fix based on the ADT fixes... ODETTE (Usagi) is moving on a steady WEST-NORTHWEST to NORTHWEST TRACK at 20 kph
INTENSITY ESTIMATES BY WEATHER AGENCIES
PAGASA-Manila -- Max 175 kph Gust 210 kph (10 min-average)
CMA-Beijing -- Max 220 kph Gust 265 kph (10 min-average)
JMA-Tokyo -- Max 205 kph Gust 270 kph (10 min-average)
KMA-Seoul -- Max 195 kph Gust 235 kph (10 min-average)
JTWC-Hawaii -- Max 260 kph Gust 315 kph (1 min-average)
CWB-Taiwan -- Max 200 kph Gust 240 kph (10 min-average)
HKO-Hongkong -- Max 195 kph Gust 210 kph (10 min-average)
*** PAGASA remains to be the lowest intensity among all the West Pacific agencies, and appears to avoid classifying storms above 185kph, its Signal 4 threshold. They keep underestimating. - Manila TC admin ***
More info at the jump, so Click Read More.
Tropical Disturbance WP54 (91W)'s potential development into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 hours is now UPGRADED from Likely to HIGH, now with 73% chance. -- ManilaTC
The Japan Meteorological Agency has upgraded WP54 (91W) as a full Tropical Depression, moving North-Northwest at 7kph.
** WTPQ20 RJTD 250000 ***
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
PSTN 250000UTC 11.0N 129.5E POOR
MOVE NNW SLOWLY
24HF 260000UTC 14.2N 128.3E 120NM 70%
MOVE NNW 09KT
ManilaTC is now issuing a Tropical Cyclone Formation alert for Disturbance WP54 (Invest 91W) located east of Samar province.
Tropical Disturbance WP54 (Invest 91W) has shown further organization and is now subject to a Formation Alert by ManilaTC.
At 0200am today, WP54 (Invest 91W) was last located at 10.9°N, 130.8°E... about 550km East of Guiuan town in Eastern Samar, Philippines.
Maximum winds near the disturbance center are at 35 kph (20 kts), and has drifted to the Northwest to
Computer models are in unanimous agreement to develop WP54 (Invest 91W) into a tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours and to track Northwest across the Northern Philippine sea... potentially towards Extreme Northern Luzon.
Should PAGASA upgrade this disturbance, it will be named Nando.
ManilaTC analyzes that Tropical Disturbance WP54 (Invest 91W)'s potential development into a Tropical Cyclone within the next 24 hours is LIKELY, with 63% chance.
#ManilaTC #TyphoonWatch #HabagatWatch #StormWatch
Dangerous and Intensifying Category 2 Typhoon LABUYO (UTOR) continues to tread closer to Eastern Luzon... Posing an increasing threat to Luzon. Interests in LUZON should closely monitor the progress of this Typhoon.
Areas under the storm warnings should follow or track the severe weather potential of the storm not just the storm center. Severe weather meaning: Torrential Rainfall, Storm Surges and the potential of flooding and landslides...
In an effort to provide more timely updates for current and future storms, some changes will occur as detailed below.
BY THE WAY, LABAN PILIPINAS! PUSO! :)
This is the official blog page of Manila Typhoon Center. All the latest advisories from ManilaTC will be coursed here should the Facebook page be inaccessible for any reason.