ODETTE (Usagi) has been given the SUPER TYPHOON title by JTWC-Hawaii and CMA-Beijing. The howler has now winds reaching 230 kph, a Strong Category-4 Typhoon on the Saffir-Sampson Scale. The Super Typhoon is now making its approach towards extreme Northern Luzon and Southern Taiwan, then go on its way towards Southern China-Hongkong area. PAGASA TYPHOON WARNING SIGNALS (as of 5 am Warning) SIGNAL NUMBER 3 -- Batanes Group of Islands... meaning winds of 101-185 kph are expected in at least 18 hours SIGNAL NUMBER 2 -- Cagayan, Calayan and Babuyan Group of Islands, Apayao... meaning winds of 61-100 kph are expected in the next 24 hours SIGNAL NUMBER 1 -- Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Mt. Province, Ifugao, Abra, Kalinga, Isabela ... meaning winds of 45-60 kph are expected in the next 36 hours At 6 am today Manila time, The eye of ODETTE (Usagi) was last located at 19.1°N, 125.8°E... about 445 km East-Northeast of Aparri, Cagayan or 430 km East-Southeast of the Batanes Island Group... fix based on the ADT fixes... ODETTE (Usagi) is moving on a steady WEST-NORTHWEST to NORTHWEST TRACK at 20 kph INTENSITY ESTIMATES BY WEATHER AGENCIES PAGASA-Manila -- Max 175 kph Gust 210 kph (10 min-average) CMA-Beijing -- Max 220 kph Gust 265 kph (10 min-average) JMA-Tokyo -- Max 205 kph Gust 270 kph (10 min-average) KMA-Seoul -- Max 195 kph Gust 235 kph (10 min-average) JTWC-Hawaii -- Max 260 kph Gust 315 kph (1 min-average) CWB-Taiwan -- Max 200 kph Gust 240 kph (10 min-average) HKO-Hongkong -- Max 195 kph Gust 210 kph (10 min-average) *** PAGASA remains to be the lowest intensity among all the West Pacific agencies, and appears to avoid classifying storms above 185kph, its Signal 4 threshold. They keep underestimating. - Manila TC admin *** More info at the jump, so Click Read More. ODETTE (Usagi) is being forecast to maintain its intensity above 100 kts (185 kph) until it makes landfall near or over Hongkong by Monday night. JMA-Tokyo has the reach of gale force winds extending to a radius of 560km (1,120 km diameter)... meaning gale force winds may be experienced from Taipei all the way to Southern Luzon... Rainfall estimates of the typhoon is 10-20 mm per hour (heavy to intense). Maximum wave height is 32 feet. A GALE WARNING is in force from PAGASA, covering the eastern seaboard of Central and Southern Luzon (Aurora, Camarines Provinces, Catanduanes, Eastern coast of Albay, Eastern coast of Sorsogon and Eastern coast of Quezon including Polillo Island); The eastern seaboard of Visayas (Samar and Leyte); and The western seaboard of Southern Luzon (Cavite, Mindoro Occidental, Western coast of Batangas and Palawan) The Southwest monsoon is now being enhanced by the system, affecting the Western Coasts of the Philippines. Potentially flooding moderate to at times heavy-intense rains are expected to persist over the next 2-3 days. |
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July 2016
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